U.S. May employment data

June 6 (Friday) May U.S. employment figures were announced.
① The following is generally said to be relevant "employment" and "retail" is believed to be a reason for divergence and ② employment statistics for bright spots and dark material you want to see each picked up one by one.
Employment and retail []
Non-farm payrolls number is four months this year shows a continuous decline in employment. And labor market instability, "employment anxiety is apparent from the decrease in consumer spending" is so far the general view. But on May 13, which was published in April's retail sales -0.2% slowdown and its width is small. Rather, the reluctance in buying crude oil price rises due to the automobile sales, excluding sales, the increase since January of this year and 0.5 percent. The reason is that the U.S. government has advocated a tax cut back. Expansion of the economy from consumer spending, the measures aim at the economic support, mainly to a single 600 dollars, households in 1200 to give a dollar cheque (totaling 150 billion U.S. dollars). This consumption is expected to be implemented ahead of schedule as potentially high. In fact, 27, announced in the consumer confidence index in the "next six months to buy another TV," an answer to a record of the (By the way in the United States in February 2009 analog Broadcasting is finished). Thus, the employment figures are "strong employment gains in retail →"当てはまらずpattern is the reverse operation and composition of the "Employment is good!" And the optimism is not good.


[Dollars] good material
May 22, which was published in new unemployment claims were down 36.5 million, below expectations (37.3 million) respectively. Usually less impact if it does not have this period, the employment statistics for the sample data, or take a week. This is the exact numbers are reflected in employment statistics.


[Dollars] bad material
27, issued by the consumer confidence index was 57.2 and in 1992 the lowest level since October. The index of the items are related to employment, but this time, it has been deteriorating. "Employment is enough" and the answer to the indexation of the 16.3 (previous: 17.1, up from last year: 29.1) and decline. "Employment is not enough" is 55.7 (previous: 55.0, up from last year: 51.2) and deteriorating. In addition, "it is difficult to get employment" and 28.0 (previous: 27.9, up from last year: 19.7) and worse. This is the unemployment rate rises to show that this is possible.


[Note to all kinds of items required for employment]
At the moment the main guidelines for the employment statistics出揃っis not it more in-depth is difficult to forecast, at least so far is not optimistic about possible factors. Number of new unemployment claims up is bright, but "to improve employment" not be a factor. Employment statistics to be released by ISM manufacturing business confidence index (2007) and ADP employment statistics (4), and the ISM non-manufacturing business confidence index (4) employment also want to be careful.